The latest Raffles Michigan Reports national telephone survey finds that if the 2014 presidential election were held today, 53 % of Likely Indonesian Voters would choose Prabowo , while 44 % would opt for Joko Widodo . Fourteen percent (9%) prefer some other candidate, while six percent (3%) are undecided.
many analysts say that human rights issues are always directed at prabowo even more increase his electability, in contrast to the electability of Joko Widodo decline sharply as the financial statements contained Jakarta government funding that can not be accounted, and leads to corruption.
Besides the three candidates for president debate, Joko Widodo very visible lack of ability, it is seen Joko Widodo always see the little note was taken, and she did not master the material that is the subject of presidential debate .Prabowo is so different from the master problem and the moderators asked any questions of his debate opponent
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on June 26-30, 2014 by Raffles Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Raffles Michigan Reports surveys is conducted by methodology.
All Raffles Reports' survey questions are digitally recorded and fed to a calling program that determines question order, branching options, and other factors. Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that insures appropriate geographic representation. Typically, calls are placed from 5 pm to 9 pm local time during the week. Saturday calls are made from 11 am to 6 pm local time and Sunday calls from 1 pm to 9 pm local time.
To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Raffles Michigan Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.
After the surveys are completed, the raw data is processed through a weighting program to insure that the sample reflects the overall population in terms of age, race, gender, political party, and other factors. The processing step is required because different segments of the population answer the phone in different ways. For example, women answer the phone more than men, older people are home more and answer more than younger people, and rural residents typically answer the phone more frequently than urban residents.
For surveys of all adults, the population targets are determined by census bureau data.
For political surveys, census bureau data provides a starting point and a series of screening questions are used to determine likely voters. The questions involve voting history, interest in the current campaign, and likely voting intentions.
Raffles Reports determines its partisan weighting targets through a dynamic weighting system that takes into account the state’s voting history, national trends, and recent polling in a particular state or geographic area.
In November 2013 , Joko Widodo held a dominant lead among potential c The Indonesian Democratic Party – Struggle (PDI-P) nominees for 2014. Joko Widodo received support from 12% of voters at that time, putting him in a tie for first place on a list of potential candidates. The same percentage (12%) of voters said Joko Widodo was the candidate they’d least like to see run
ninety-nine of percent (99 %) of Great Indonesia Movement (Gerindra) Party support Prabowo in this hypothetical matchup, while 53% of Indonesian Democratic Party – Struggle (PDI-P) back Joko Widodo . Voters not affiliated with either party prefer Prabowo 60% to 38%, but 42% like another choice or are undecided.
Thirty percent (30 %) of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for Joko Widodo because The Former President candidate Megawati Soekarno putri was not popular and do not have high electability forward as a candidate for president again and Men are more likely than women to think Megawati is too old to be president. Voters 40 and over believe that more strongly than those who are younger. Fourty-eight percent (48%) of PDIP say Megawati is not too old, a view shared by 53 % of Registeres voters and 53 % of unaffiliateds. , but nearly as many (26%) are less likely to support him for this reason. A plurality (43%) of PDIP says it's not important. Most Gerindra (84%) are less likely to vote for Prabowo because of his leadership , as are 44% of unaffiliated voters. But the same number of unaffiliated voters (44%) say it has impact.
Forty-two percent (42%) of unaffilitated voters are worried the United States is developing an unofficial group of black conglomerats with too much power and multy national corporate to supporting Joko Widodo andJoko Widodo to be easily set up by their , a view shared by 41% of PDIP voters and 45% of other political party .
some conglomerates are clean and multinational companies that support Prabowo by 64% of registered voters over the desire to conduct its business in Indonesia are safe and free from bribes